Monsuco's Blog

Wednesday, November 02, 2005


Well, I am going to start talking a bit on one of my intrests

My biggest intrest is technology. I have always been facinated by it. Ever since I was forced to learn to type because my writting was unreadable to my teachers, I have been learning more and more about technology. It is amazing. I don't know what will happen in the next ten years, but I know it will be impressive. I have a few theories about what will happen soon. I have theories on the future of all different types of technology. I will start with what I believe will be the future of internet access:

I believe that DSL, Cable, and satalite one day will compleatly replace dial-up. I will explain what exactly each of these technologies is.

I will start with explaining DSL. DSL is, for those of you who don't know, a method of connecting to the internet using your phone line, but it doesn't clog the phone. How, simple. Your telephone uses analog signals, but it only uses about 3% of all the avalible frequencies on the copper wires located in a phone line. DSL uses that other 97% for internet. Currently, DSL is limited by distance. Phone signals couldn't travel very far were it not for amplification devices, that is devices placed every so many miles on a phone line that rebroadcast the phone signal. Special amplification devices must be added to the phone line to strengthen those DSL signals every so many miles as well. Also, most fiber optic lines cannot carry DSL signals without special converters and special fiber optic lines. However improvments are being made in fiber optic lines to convert and trasmit DSL. Soon you may not have to live near your phone company to get DSL. I believe DSL will drop from being $30 or so a month, to being $15 a month due to heavy competition amongst phone companies.

Cable may be around for a while, but I doubt cable will stay on cable wires forever. I believe soon, cable based internet will be moved to the section of the frequency spectrum currently used for analog television. I have heard the government has plans to buy back that end of the frequency spectrum and resell it to sources such as this. I believe that an individual will not have a cable ISP, but they will be comunal, payed for by home owners assosiations. Each little comunity will have an internet broadcast station funded by HOA money. The broadcast station will be connected to all the nearby houses to provide them with internet service. The tower will transmit and recieve information to and from their ISP company over reasonable distances (a few miles). Also, all those houses will have both CAT5 and Wi-Fi. CAT5 for desktops, Wi-Fi networks for laptops.

Satalite internet will probably grow. I believe it will become common in rual areas were little else is avalible. Directway is currently one of the few satalite internet providers, but I believe soon they will face great competition. Satalite internet holds great potential in remote areas that currently would be stuck with dial up. I believe satalite internet will eventually drop from costing $60 a month to $30 a month.

Wi-Fi is currently popular in coffee shops and such, but I believe it will be replaced by a newer technology. I am not certain of the exact name of this new technology, but basicly you replace your Wi-Fi card with a special reciever and a transmiter similar to a cell phone transmiter. Currently there are hacks for the Treo smartphone that let you recieve dial up from anywere using blue tooth, and there is Verison broaband access which is like Wi-Fi only without having to be in a hotspot. Also, Google is looking into becoming a free Wi-Fi ISP that will support it's service with ads.

I will make more predictions on technology latter. (Heh, seeing as how I am very interested in technology, I bet I will talk a lot about technology in my blogs. I may even give you some tips.

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